Investing

Student Loans During a Recession

Student Loans During a Recession

Student Loans During a Recession

Zoe Team

4 min read

A financial advisor reviewing a plan with two clients at a table

Key Takeaways

Key Takeaways

  • Recessions create financial uncertainty, but proactive management of student loans can mitigate negative impacts.

  • Explore federal repayment options, such as income-driven plans, which can adjust monthly payments based on your actual earnings.

  • Consult with a financial advisor to understand how loan repayment strategies fit into your broader long-term investment and savings goals.

Frequently Asked Questions

Frequently Asked Questions

How does a recession affect my student loans?

A recession can impact your income, making standard loan payments harder to manage; however, federal programs often provide relief options for borrowers facing hardship.

What are my options if I can’t afford my monthly payment?

You can apply for income-driven repayment plans, deferment, or forbearance programs designed to temporarily lower or pause payments based on your financial situation.

Should I prioritize paying off loans or investing during a recession?

It depends on your interest rates and risk tolerance; a financial advisor can help you determine the best balance between debt reduction and wealth building.

You might be wondering what implications a recession has on your student loans. While questions rise, its is important you realize that there are ways to prepare for a recession as a borrower. Formulate a game plan to understand how you can navigate student loans during a recession.

We’ve grown accustomed to skyrocketing student loan debt figures. In 2020, 45 million borrowers, across all age groups and demographics, owed collectively nearly $1.6 trillion in student loans. Yet despite the high amount of debt many students incur, receiving higher education is still an investment that most believe is worth the cost.

During a recession, one of the worries that may be occupying your mind, is if it’s the right time to take on student loans. With the economy in a frail state, understanding the complexity of student debt can enable you to make the best decisions for your unique situation.

Loans after the Great Recession

According to a Great Recession (2008-2009) study published in the Journal of Financial Economics, student loan defaults rose 30% after the massive collapse in home prices. As a result of decreased employment opportunities, many sought to improve their job prospects with a higher education degree.

After 2009, the U.S Department of Education introduced the Income-Based Repayment Program. The purpose of this plan is to help people whose federal student loan debt is high relative to their income and family size. This plan reduced the risk of loan payments being contingent upon discretionary income by adding insurance for borrowers. The study mentioned previously also indicates that the Income-Based Repayment Program reduces the individual’s loan defaults and their sensitivity to home price fluctuations.

Loan Interest Rates in 2020

The interest rates for federal student loans are set annually by a Department of the Treasury auction. In early May 2020, the new rates set for student loans were publicly released and set a significant precedent. The interest rate for student loans for the fall of 2020 hit a decade low. Note that these rates were set effective between July 1, 2020, and June 30, 2021, so if you had a previous loan, the rate of that loan was locked-in to the date chosen when you took out that loan.

What Happens When the Federal Government Lowers Loan Rates?

All student loans have different characteristics. If you have a student loan right now, there is little likelihood that these low-interest cuts will affect you as the majority of students in the US have fixed-rates. That said, if you have a variable interest rate, there is good news!

If your student loans have a fixed interest rate, you are ‘fixed’ to an agreed interest rate regardless if in the future the rate changes in the open market. However, if it’s your first time taking out a student loan, you may want to take these new lower rates into consideration. The first step you’ll want to take if you’re evaluating your existing student loans, or even taking out new ones, is to reach out to the loan provider and discuss rates and assistance programs. For example, if your income has been impacted by the current situation and is lower than it was in the past, you can change your monthly payment by requesting your loan servicer to recalculate your monthly payment.

If you are a student with a variable-rate loan, the interest rates for your loan fluctuate alongside market rates. Keep in mind that most of these types of student loans come from private, non-federal sources. If you have this type of loan, it could take a while to see changes in your payments because private lenders tend to hold and slow the process of decreasing these rates. That said, these rates are the lowest we’ve seen in a decade which should help lower the interest rate you pay on your loan.

Considering Student Loans During a Recession

It may be the time to reassess your holistic financial plan, when interest rates are lower. For example, if your interest rates go down by 1% or 2%, the percentage saved annually can represent significant savings. That said, it’s normal to be concerned about increasing your student loan debt regardless of how the economy is doing. In some cases, pursuing higher education makes a meaningful difference in the opportunities available to you post-recession. However, it’s critical that you carefully evaluate the costs and benefits of getting into debt prior to taking a student loan.

You might be wondering what implications a recession has on your student loans. While questions rise, its is important you realize that there are ways to prepare for a recession as a borrower. Formulate a game plan to understand how you can navigate student loans during a recession.

We’ve grown accustomed to skyrocketing student loan debt figures. In 2020, 45 million borrowers, across all age groups and demographics, owed collectively nearly $1.6 trillion in student loans. Yet despite the high amount of debt many students incur, receiving higher education is still an investment that most believe is worth the cost.

During a recession, one of the worries that may be occupying your mind, is if it’s the right time to take on student loans. With the economy in a frail state, understanding the complexity of student debt can enable you to make the best decisions for your unique situation.

Loans after the Great Recession

According to a Great Recession (2008-2009) study published in the Journal of Financial Economics, student loan defaults rose 30% after the massive collapse in home prices. As a result of decreased employment opportunities, many sought to improve their job prospects with a higher education degree.

After 2009, the U.S Department of Education introduced the Income-Based Repayment Program. The purpose of this plan is to help people whose federal student loan debt is high relative to their income and family size. This plan reduced the risk of loan payments being contingent upon discretionary income by adding insurance for borrowers. The study mentioned previously also indicates that the Income-Based Repayment Program reduces the individual’s loan defaults and their sensitivity to home price fluctuations.

Loan Interest Rates in 2020

The interest rates for federal student loans are set annually by a Department of the Treasury auction. In early May 2020, the new rates set for student loans were publicly released and set a significant precedent. The interest rate for student loans for the fall of 2020 hit a decade low. Note that these rates were set effective between July 1, 2020, and June 30, 2021, so if you had a previous loan, the rate of that loan was locked-in to the date chosen when you took out that loan.

What Happens When the Federal Government Lowers Loan Rates?

All student loans have different characteristics. If you have a student loan right now, there is little likelihood that these low-interest cuts will affect you as the majority of students in the US have fixed-rates. That said, if you have a variable interest rate, there is good news!

If your student loans have a fixed interest rate, you are ‘fixed’ to an agreed interest rate regardless if in the future the rate changes in the open market. However, if it’s your first time taking out a student loan, you may want to take these new lower rates into consideration. The first step you’ll want to take if you’re evaluating your existing student loans, or even taking out new ones, is to reach out to the loan provider and discuss rates and assistance programs. For example, if your income has been impacted by the current situation and is lower than it was in the past, you can change your monthly payment by requesting your loan servicer to recalculate your monthly payment.

If you are a student with a variable-rate loan, the interest rates for your loan fluctuate alongside market rates. Keep in mind that most of these types of student loans come from private, non-federal sources. If you have this type of loan, it could take a while to see changes in your payments because private lenders tend to hold and slow the process of decreasing these rates. That said, these rates are the lowest we’ve seen in a decade which should help lower the interest rate you pay on your loan.

Considering Student Loans During a Recession

It may be the time to reassess your holistic financial plan, when interest rates are lower. For example, if your interest rates go down by 1% or 2%, the percentage saved annually can represent significant savings. That said, it’s normal to be concerned about increasing your student loan debt regardless of how the economy is doing. In some cases, pursuing higher education makes a meaningful difference in the opportunities available to you post-recession. However, it’s critical that you carefully evaluate the costs and benefits of getting into debt prior to taking a student loan.

Disclosures: Zoe Financial, Inc. ("Zoe Financial") is an investment adviser registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Zoe Financial provides investment advisory services and access to independent registered investment advisers through its platform. The information provided by Zoe Financial is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as personalized investment advice or as an offer to buy or sell any security. All investments involve risk, including possible loss of principal. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Clients should consult with their own financial, tax, or legal professionals before making any investment decisions. The material presented by Zoe Financial is for informational purposes only and is not intended to serve as a substitute for personalized investment advice or as a recommendation or solicitation of any particular security, strategy, or investment product. Material presented has been gathered from sources believed to be reliable, however Adviser cannot guarantee the accuracy or completeness of such information, and certain information presented here may have been condensed or summarized from its original source. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Zoe Financial does not provide legal or tax advice, and nothing contained in these materials should be taken as legal or tax advice. SEC Registration does not constitute an endorsement of Zoe Financial by the SEC nor does it indicate that Zoe Financial has attained a particular level of skill or ability. The sole purpose of this material is to inform, and it in no way is intended to be an offer or solicitation to purchase or sell any security, other investment or service, or to attract any funds or deposits. Investments mentioned may not be appropriate for all clients. Before making any investment, each investor should carefully consider the risks associated with the investment, as discussed in the applicable offering memorandum, and make a determination based upon their own particular circumstances, that the investment is consistent with their investment objectives and risk tolerance. Lower expenses do not guarantee better investment performance. Certain information contained herein may constitute forward-looking statements. Due to various risks and uncertainties, actual events, results or the performance of a fund may differ materially from those reflected or contemplated in such forward-looking statements.

Disclosure: This page is not investment advice and should not be relied on for such advice or as a substitute for consultation with professional accounting, tax, legal or financial advisors. The observations of industry trends should not be read as recommendations for stocks or sectors.


Investment advisory services are provided by Zoe Financial, Inc. (Zoe Financial), an investment adviser registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Learn more about Zoe Financial on the SEC’s Investment Adviser Public Disclosure website. Brokerage services are provided by Zoe Securities LLC and Apex Clearing Corporation, members of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority Inc. (FINRA) and Securities Investor Protection Corporation (SIPC). Learn more about Zoe Securities and Apex on FINRA’s BrokerCheck website.

The information in the visuals above is for illustrative purposes only and does not represent an actual user's account, balance, or return. Zoe Financial does not provide tax or legal advice.

Explore the Zoe Wealth Platform with AI

Some of this content may have been generated with the assistance of AI. Please review and sense-check all outputs, as AI tools can occasionally produce incomplete or inaccurate information.
In certain situations, you may be required to disclose that the content was “generated by AI.” Please confirm any specific disclosure or labelling requirements with Compliance.

(646) 680-9244

support@zoefin.com

666 Third Ave, 6th Floor
New York, NY, 10017

Copyright © 2026 Zoe Financial, Inc. | All rights reserved

Disclosure: This page is not investment advice and should not be relied on for such advice or as a substitute for consultation with professional accounting, tax, legal or financial advisors. The observations of industry trends should not be read as recommendations for stocks or sectors.


Investment advisory services are provided by Zoe Financial, Inc. (Zoe Financial), an investment adviser registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Learn more about Zoe Financial on the SEC’s Investment Adviser Public Disclosure website. Brokerage services are provided by Zoe Securities LLC and Apex Clearing Corporation, members of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority Inc. (FINRA) and Securities Investor Protection Corporation (SIPC). Learn more about Zoe Securities and Apex on FINRA’s BrokerCheck website.

The information in the visuals above is for illustrative purposes only and does not represent an actual user's account, balance, or return. Zoe Financial does not provide tax or legal advice.

Explore the Zoe Wealth Platform with AI

Some of this content may have been generated with the assistance of AI. Please review and sense-check all outputs, as AI tools can occasionally produce incomplete or inaccurate information.
In certain situations, you may be required to disclose that the content was “generated by AI.” Please confirm any specific disclosure or labelling requirements with Compliance.

(646) 680-9244

support@zoefin.com

666 Third Ave, 6th Floor
New York, NY, 10017

Copyright © 2026 Zoe Financial, Inc. | All rights reserved

Disclosure: This page is not investment advice and should not be relied on for such advice or as a substitute for consultation with professional accounting, tax, legal or financial advisors. The observations of industry trends should not be read as recommendations for stocks or sectors.


Investment advisory services are provided by Zoe Financial, Inc. (Zoe Financial), an investment adviser registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Learn more about Zoe Financial on the SEC’s Investment Adviser Public Disclosure website. Brokerage services are provided by Zoe Securities LLC and Apex Clearing Corporation, members of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority Inc. (FINRA) and Securities Investor Protection Corporation (SIPC). Learn more about Zoe Securities and Apex on FINRA’s BrokerCheck website.

The information in the visuals above is for illustrative purposes only and does not represent an actual user's account, balance, or return. Zoe Financial does not provide tax or legal advice.

Explore the Zoe Wealth Platform with AI

Some of this content may have been generated with the assistance of AI. Please review and sense-check all outputs, as AI tools can occasionally produce incomplete or inaccurate information.
In certain situations, you may be required to disclose that the content was “generated by AI.” Please confirm any specific disclosure or labelling requirements with Compliance.

(646) 680-9244

support@zoefin.com

666 Third Ave, 6th Floor
New York, NY, 10017

Copyright © 2025 Zoe Financial, Inc. | All rights reserved